Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll … Read more
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same … Read more
In his announcement that he would not seek a second term, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney stressed the need for a new generation of leadership in the U.S. Win McNamee / Getty Images On Wednesday, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney announced he would not run for reelection in 2024. On the surface, the electoral impact of Romney’s … Read more
Eight Republican candidates participated in the party’s first primary debate in August. But the stage could feature fewer contenders when the GOP holds its next debate later this month. Joshua Lott / The Washington Post via Getty Images The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out … Read more
Photo Illustration by ABC News / Getty Images Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announced that he’s directing three House committees to start investigating whether President Biden benefited from his son Hunter’s business dealings overseas. McCarthy accused the Biden family of “a … Read more
President Trump delivered an address to the nation Wednesday night intended to mark the close of his first year back in power. Trump appeared before the cameras in the White House’s Diplomatic Reception Room with his poll ratings at a mediocre ebb, and the issue of affordability in particular serving as a drag on his…